Jake Dunne

Can you believe that Brityne Rucker has NEVER… as in EVER had a Cadbury Egg 🥚 🤷🏼‍♂️😳

Not until today as I made sure she got to try one

The verdict: she LOVED it! It ‘is made of sugar’ she said 😂

Dad died six weeks before my first birthday

His younger brother, Pete, helped raise me and mold me into the man I am today

Pete passed away 19 years ago today

Crazy to think I am two years older than Pete ever was, and I am 23 years older than my dad ever was 🤯

I would give anything to spend five minutes with them… especially right now

BREAKING: in an effort to bring more rain/storms to the state, KDOT is going to move the turnpike farther west

While the exact plans are TBD, it will run from (roughly) Liberal to Oberlin

😂🤷🏼‍♂️🤦🏻‍♂️

I’m obviously kidding but perhaps we should consider it 🤔 and thanks Joe Sporleder for the idea 💡

NEW: south central Kansas was upgraded to a level 3 with the latest update from the Storm Prediction Center

Stop me if you have heard this one before: the best chance of storms will be along and east of the turnpike 🫣

There is a SMALL chance of a stray storm 'breaking the cap' over Sedgwick County after 5 p.m. but the Wichita area probably will not see much - again - with most/all of the activity along the cold front between 7-10 p.m.

Still thinking Saturday (weather alert day) and Sunday have better odds of statewide storms and higher end severe weather

Today's Weather 101: what does a 50% chance of rain mean 🤔

The reason we don't use the (percentage) Probability of Precipitation, AKA 'PoPs' at KWCH is because most people do not understand what they mean

A 50% chance of rain does NOT mean there is a 50% chance it will/will not rain, and it does NOT mean half of us will see rain and half of us will not see rain

In a nutshell, a computer forecast models finds 100 (or a thousand) days with similar weather conditions, and then finds out how many days produced precipitation near a specific point

If it was 50 days, it's a 50% PoP... If it was 80 days, it's a 80% PoP

Diving in deeper, the distance from that specific (grid) point makes the PoP less/more accurate

High resolution models that go out 24-48 hours use (roughly) 3K resolution making them very accurate, while longer range (10-15 day) models use lower 10-25K resolution making them less accurate