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Ben Affleck won the top film honour from the Directors Guild of America last night - boosting the chances of Argo winning the Oscar for Best Picture later this month to 72.7% on Intrade.

With a month until the stars hit the red carpet for the Academy Awards ceremony, the Intrade markets are showing some clear favourites for this year's awards.

Argo has bolted to the front of the Best Picture pack after recently collecting Golden Globes and Screen Actors Guild awards. Argo is currently trading at 56.5% with Lincoln back on 34% and Les Miserable a distant third on 2.5%.

Daniel Day-Lewis is the overwhelming favourite to pick up his third Best Actor award - he is currently trading at 91.2% for his performance in Lincoln. Steven Spielberg is looking like a lock for the Best Director award, also for Lincoln. Spielberg is currently trading at 76.8% for Lincoln, well ahead of Ang Lee back on 14.1%.

Jennifer Lawrence and Jessica Chastain are the market leaders in the Best Actress category. Lawrence is trading at 65% for her role in Silver Linings Playbook and Chastain at 28.5% for Zero Dark Thirty.

So what do you think? Are there any upsets on the way this year?

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