Uwenta
UWENTA - Using World Economic News & Technical Analysis. We provide equities and mutual funds trading services to Indian institutional and retail clients.
The USD/INR fut has already crossed our $69 target set in last post and is within striking distance of second target of $70 !
USD/INR fut had hit high of $69.17 in last trading session and looks like $70 level will be breached easily in the next few days of trading as risk off trade continues from global investors.
As Indian Forex reserves with RBI fall further, Rupee could weaken beyond $70
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The US $ was at 19
Sensex was at 800
Petrol was at ₹ 9.84
Diesel was ar ₹ 4.08
Gold was at ₹3100/10 gm
when he made his debut ! 😱
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As Countries world over become more protectionist towards trade and economy, India too would need to keep its growth engine running with local trade. As more Countries opt for local talent & trade to boost employment & GDP, it could take some shine off India's Information Technology (IT) sector which has been India's major growth story in the last 2-3 decades. The IT sector wont collapse for sure but the amazing returns made by investors would not be seen again in the near future due to change in world trade scenario.
The growth story of India for the next decade or so will be driven by sectors which will be less of export driven and more of local impact.
Some sectors which could be likely gainers would be :
1) INFRASTRUCTURE : India has a huge appetite still for improvement in infrastructure and is also a major driver of employment growth.
2) TELECOM: Indian telecom space has seen lot of pain in the past decade on back of scams and fierce competition. This could change going ahead as there will be only few major companies which will survive and the sector will see better pricing.
3) RENEWABLE ENERGY: Government's world over are pushing to adopt renewable energy and India has a huge planned investment in this sector.
4) HOUSING: Even though property prices in India have seen tremendous gains in the last 2-3 decades the returns on Realty stocks have been very disappointing due to high debt and hight interest rates. This might change for the better going ahead.
It is important to check a companies performance over the years to avoid bad investments.
Invest wisely 🙂
Disclaimer: *All views are personal
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