Datasoft Consultancy Inc

American election results will be fully out in the next 5 Days.

We can predict this is 4 (not so simple) steps using Monte Carlo's Markov Chain.

1. Create the Sample space (Ω) (a list of all possible outcomes) - Trump Wins (TW), Biden Wins (BW), Trump Loses (TL), Biden Loses (BL).
2. Assign probabilities to sample space elements at time t (now)- TW = 48.4%, BW = 50.0%, TL = 21.1%, BL = 11.9%
3. Identify the events of interest in the next 5 Days - 80% of the votes have been counted. Counting the 20% comprising mail-in votes and provisional ballots is the big deal giving us 2 events of interest, - 1. Trump wins more states, 2. Biden Wins more states. This is better than just getting the remaining 21.1% for Trump or 11.9% for Biden because of the influence of the Electoral College in American Election.
4. Calculate the probabilities for the events of interest after 5 days when all votes are counted- Trump Wins more states from the remaining votes (T), Biden Wins more states from the remaining votes (B).

In our opinion, this wait would be more interesting if all states had policies similar to Nebraska and Maine, where the electoral college votes are handed out proportionately instead of the State winner taking all the electoral college votes.

Authored by Khalid Ndeko

We love numbers. Everybody should. But since not everyone can. We’re here for all your NUMBER needs.

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Sumi Hamid Husna Etum Bienvenu Byamungu Sadick Sebufara Moses Scan Lovison Adonyo Johnam Kambasu Ushu Mukelo Nkumba University Makerere University

Poverty can be easily eradicated by implementing “Negative Income Tax System”.

In economics, a negative income tax is a system within an income tax where people earning below a certain amount receive supplemental pay from the government instead of paying taxes to the government.

In a negative income tax system, people earning a certain income level would owe no taxes; those earning more than that would pay a proportion of their income above that level; and those below that level would receive a payment of a proportion of their shortfall, which is the amount their income falls below that level.

The big question remains with the political will in our country to eradicate poverty.

Khalid Ndeko Bricks Deni Jr. Moses Scan Lovison Adonyo Johnam Kambasu Harriet Penrod

Talking to a passionate chef about what we do.…………

And about what statisticians do, they get row , chop it into , add some spices and load them into a pan called (one of the many), cook them for days in a hot gas plate called (other choices exist) into a yummy meal called . This is further garnished through critical analysis into perfect that is served to the different people (stakeholders) on the dining table through .

Statistics in a cooking language... what professional language do you understand best?

Are you a student (PhD, MSc., MA, MBA, LLM) or a project manager that needs a quality study report. Well, we specialize in just that. We love statistics and everything around it, that we are under the obligation to produce nothing but the best quality.