Steve Caparotta WAFB

We're seeing an impressive flare up of convection (storms) in the eastern Gulf this morning. This is the area we'll be watching for potential development into the weekend. While the flare up may grab your attention, NHC maintains development odds at only 20%.

We continue to see a trend toward a more westward track becoming the more likely scenario. That's sure to get the attention of those along the northern Gulf Coast, but the good news is that most signs point toward limited development. The disturbance will also likely meander in the NE Gulf for a good chunk of the weekend. The most likely impact at this point is heavy rain for parts of the FL Peninsula.

So, for now, we continue to keep an eye on it, but our level of concern remains low.

Thanks to Weathernerds for the satellite image.