National Solar Observatory

National Solar Observatory

Share

Our mission is to advance knowledge of the Sun by providing cutting edge observation facilities. Visit www.nso.edu for more information on NSO's projects.

A 4π Framework for Forecasting Solar‑Limb Flares Using the AFT Model and NSF-NOAA GONG Far-Side Helioseismic Maps - NSO - National Solar Observatory 06/03/2026

Solar flares near the Sun’s edges have long created a dangerous space-weather blind spot—until now.

A collaborative research team from the U.S. National Science Foundation (NSF) National Solar Observatory (NSF NSO), NorthWest Research Associates (NWRA), and Southwest Research Institute (SwRI) have developed a new "4π" forecasting framework. By combining global magnetic field models with NSF-NOAA GONG far-side helioseismology, this new approach tracks active regions across the entire Sun.

The result? A significant reduction in missed "limb flare" events, helping to better protect Earth's satellites, communications, and power grids.

Read the full breakdown of how researchers working together to refine solar flare predictions blelow.

A 4π Framework for Forecasting Solar‑Limb Flares Using the AFT Model and NSF-NOAA GONG Far-Side Helioseismic Maps - NSO - National Solar Observatory A new 4π framework for solar flare forecasting slashes missed events by tracking the Sun's far side. Discover how NSO, NWRA, and SwRI are closing the blind spot.

06/02/2026

Solar Activity Report: May 25-31, 2024

During the past week, solar activity was predominantly low, characterized by low‑intensity C‑class flares. The most significant event was an M1.1 flare on 29 May originating from Active Region 14455 in the northeast quadrant. All remaining activity consisted of low C‑class flares, and no Earth‑directed CMEs were identified.

Data by NSF-NOAA GONG, operated by NSF NSO.
Additional Credits: Jain/Oien/NSF/GONG/NSO/AURA with contributions by NOAA.

05/27/2026

Solar Activity Report: May 18-24, 2026

Solar activity began the week at low levels, with the X‑ray flux holding in the B range except for a few low‑intensity C‑class flares. Activity dipped even further on 20 May, when the flux remained entirely below the B–C threshold. By mid‑day on 21 May, conditions shifted. Activity rose following three short‑duration, high‑intensity impulsive C‑class flares from Active Region 14436 as it approached the northwest limb: C5.6, C8.3, and C9.5. A more substantial increase occurred on 22 May, when an M2.3 flare erupted from just beyond the northwest limb, near the same active region, pushing activity into the moderate range. On 23 May, a series of low and medium intensity C‑class flares were recorded and the week concluded with low flaring activity. Most of the flaring during the last two days originated from newly emerged Active Region 14446 near the southeast limb. Multiple CMEs were observed in coronagraph imagery, but none were Earth‑directed.

Helioseismic maps of the far hemisphere reveal two strong active regions, forecast to return to Earth view on 27 and 31 May. A third region shows a detectable helioseismic signature, but its probability of appearance remains below our confidence threshold. If it continues to strengthen, it should reach the east limb on 29 May. The far‑side active region mentioned in last week’s report has now rotated onto the front side and has been assigned NOAA 14446.

Data by NSF-NOAA GONG, operated by NSF NSO.
Additional Credits: Jain/Oien/NSF/GONG/NSO/AURA with contributions by NOAA.

05/06/2026

Solar Activity Report: April 27-May 3, 2026

Solar activity during the reporting week remained generally low, with X‑ray flux staying within the low C‑class range aside from a few high‑C and low M‑class events. Activity briefly rose to moderate levels on the first two days: an M1.0 flare from active region 11425 on April 27, followed by three low M‑class flares and several high C‑class flares, including C8.1, C9.0, and C9.3, from the active region 11420 on April 28. Consequently, April 28 was the most active day of the week, and the strongest event was an M1.5 flare from active region 11420. This region also produced a C7.4 flare on May 1 and a C8.7 flare on May 2. No significant Earth‑directed CMEs were detected in coronagraph observations.

The latest helioseismic far‑side map suggests that a moderate to strong active region may rotate onto the north‑east limb around May 9.

Data by NSF-NOAA GONG, operated by NSF NSO.
Additional Credits: Jain/Oien/NSF/GONG/NSO/AURA with contributions by NOAA.

Want your organization to be the top-listed Government Service in Boulder?
Click here to claim your Sponsored Listing.

Address


Boulder, CO