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The median forecast hit 4.9%, according to a survey of economists, after Powell said they would need to raise rates higher than previously expected. This means that the FOMC will reduce the rate hike to 25 basis points in February and March next year, and then pause the tightening policy. Judging from the pricing of the current interest rate futures market, investors' views are also consistent.

A research report from Standard Chartered Bank lists 7 major black swan events in 2023
1. The Federal Reserve has made a major shift in monetary policy, from tightening to loosening;
2. The price of oil may fall to $40, another 50% drop from the current base;
3. The price of Bitcoin may fall by another 70% to $5,000;
4. The euro rose sharply because the conflict between Russia and Ukraine was resolved;
5. The Nasdaq index plummeted another 50%, and the U.S. stock market was in the same state as when the Internet bubble reappeared;

New York stocks rose. The number of new jobless aid claims in the United States increased by 4,000 last week, and investors expect the Federal Reserve to slow down the pace of interest rate hikes. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 33,781 points, up 183 points, or 0.55%. The Nasdaq index reported 11082 points, up 123 points, or 1.13%. The Standard & Poor's 500 index was at 3963 points, up 29 points, or 0.75%.

Wall Street stocks fell first and then recovered, the three major indexes closed flat receive. U.S. job growth beats forecasts, wages rise. The market believes that the Fed will continue to tighten monetary policy Policy. Summing up the week, the three major indexes all rose！

The U.S. November non-farm payrolls data was hot. As Wall Street worried that the Federal Reserve would consider a hawkish interest rate hike, the U.S. stock index opened lower on Friday (2nd) and then fluctuated. As the Fed’s "megaphone" reiterated that it is expected to raise interest rates by 2 yards in December , bargain hunters settled in, U.S. stocks narrowed their losses in late trading, the Dow Jones closed in red at 34.87 points, the S&P and the Nasdaq closed slightly lower, and the FX fell by more than 1%.

After Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said on Wednesday that the pace of interest rate hikes may be slowed in December as soon as possible, New York Federal Reserve Bank President John Williams (John Williams) did not comment on the rate hike in December on Thursday, but emphasized that the Fed Further rate hikes are needed to reduce excessive price pressures.