Mortgage Lending Group LLC

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗝𝘂𝗻𝗲 𝟭𝟱, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗺𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗱 𝗹𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗿 👍
Rates started last week a little higher but ended lower after reports surfaced that a peace deal with Iran was close and could possibly be signed over the weekend. Even though both consumer and wholesale inflation continued to rise, markets largely expected those increases, so mortgage rates showed little reaction.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗰𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗺𝗼𝘃𝗲 𝗹𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗿 👍
With a peace agreement now in place and the Strait of Hormuz expected to fully reopen, oil prices have fallen and mortgage rates could continue to improve. The biggest test this week comes Wednesday when new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh holds his first Fed meeting and press conference.

📈 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁’𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
• The Middle East: The peace agreement is expected to be formally signed Friday, and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz should help bring oil prices lower. That would ease inflation concerns and help mortgage rates improve over coming weeks.
• The Fed: Wednesday's Fed meeting could create some volatility in mortgage rates, especially during and after Chair Warsh's press conference as markets assess the Fed's outlook for future rate policy.
• Juneteenth: Markets and many mortgage companies will be closed on Friday.

🏡 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸 𝗼𝗳 𝗠𝗮𝘆 𝟭𝟴, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲

𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗮𝗽: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗺𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗱 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿 👎
Rates moved higher last week, reflecting global market concerns about persistently high oil and energy costs and rising wholesale and consumer inflation. Although not yet reflected in mainstream media, mortgage rates ended the week averaging the highest levels of the year.

𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸'𝘀 𝗠𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗴𝗮𝗴𝗲 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁: 𝗥𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗰𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗺𝗼𝘃𝗲 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿 👎
Rates are likely to move higher this week, and in the foreseeable future, unless a peaceful resolution is reached with Iran that reopens the Strait of Hormuz. The longer this drags on, the worse it could get for mortgage rates from here.

📈 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁’𝘀 𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸:
• The Middle East: Peace talks continue with Iran, albeit slowly, as both sides push for concessions and compromises. The Strait of Hormuz remains closed to commercial traffic, and we are not likely to see mortgage rates move much lower from here until it reopens.
• The Fed: Although newly confirmed Fed Chair Kevin Warsh replaced Jerome Powell and was expected to help lower the Fed's policy rate, markets now see a rate hike this year as more likely than any cuts due to rising inflation and a resilient labor market.
• Economic data: There is little data that will affect rates this week.