Chism Strategies

As you gear up for GOTV efforts this fall, we want to remind you about the best practices (backed by social science research) when it comes to messaging voters.

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Maximize Voter Turnout This Fall: Proven Strategies Backed By Social Science Social pressure remains the most reliable strategy for increasing voter turnout across all demographic groups. This approach involves reminding voters that voting is a social norm and making them feel accountable to that norm. Research from 2022 shows that social pressure messaging, particularly thr...

On Monday, the New York Times and Siena College released their latest presidential battleground poll, covering six key swing states (AZ, GA, MI, NV, PA, and WI). The headline: among likely voters in these states, Donald Trump led Joe Biden 42%-36%, leading the President in five of six states (Biden led by one in MI), even as Democratic candidates for Senate led or tied in the states they tested.

The “good” news for Biden in this poll is that 42% + 36% ≠ 100%, and many voters either remain undecided or say they are supporting a third-party candidate—with independent Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. at a particularly notable 9%.

If Kennedy manages to get 9% in this election, it would be the highest share for a third-party candidate since 1992. But who are Kennedy’s voters (and which of the two major-party candidates are they pulling from)?

Read more of our insight into the poll here: https://chismstrategies.com/the-nyt-siena-poll-and-the-kennedy-factor.

The NYT/Siena Poll and the Kennedy Factor On Monday, the New York Times and Siena College released their latest presidential battleground poll, covering six key swing states (AZ, GA, MI, NV, PA, and WI). The headline: among likely voters in these states, Donald Trump led Joe Biden 42%-36%, leading the President in five of six states (Biden....