EHS Integration and Engineering Solutions

(4/9/2020) Our predicted date is here, and our plots are well aligned to our SIR model. (Suspected Infected Recovered mathematical projected curve)

The perturbations are very interesting, give that the two events occurred almost a month apart. We believe the behavior of the curves are related to social distancing. The first major drop is the delayed effect of when social distancing started.

We added a second plot, that shows Italy's recovered rate in comparison to the US. The units are on recovered persons per million.

Updated SIR model and collected data. The first major dip for the US, looks like this dip is the delayed effect of social distancing. Both countries experience a similar dip, about 25 days from their respective onset. The US recovered curve also tracks well with the SIR model.